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Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

BURA
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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la radoznali » 14 ruj 2018, 00:33

U izvješću od 5PM uragan još slabi zbog početka zamjene očnog zida te je onda udarao brzinom od 100mph. Da li će imati vremena da se oporavi vidjet ćemo za sat i pol. Otprilike onda će i dosegnuti uragansku snagu na obali iako će oko još biti na moru ... vrlo vjerojatno kao uragan kategorije 1. U ovom izvješću postaje na obali su tek sa vršnim udarima vjetra bilježili uraganske vrijednosti. Ono što je važnije da se kretanje drastično usporilo pa se sustav gibao brzinom od samo 5mph. To bi bilo za usporediti sa brzim hodanjem čovjeka :roll: ! Time su sasvim izvjesne ogromne količine oborina u slijedećih 48 sati, te će najviše štete biti upravo od velikih poplava

BURA
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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la radoznali » 14 ruj 2018, 07:33

U izvješću od 11PM iako je još na moru uragan nije ojačao več oslabio na kategoriju 1 (90 mph). I dalje je spor uz brzinu kretanja 6 mph. Pri tlu su vjetrovi jedva uraganske snage, a od drugih pojava zabilježen je lokalni uspor mora do 10 ft na pojedinim izloženim lokalitetima, najčešće ušća rijeka.
Čekaju se prvi podaci o značajnijim količinama oborina.

ADMINISTRATOR
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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la Lukeni » 14 ruj 2018, 13:39

FranGaca1 je napisao/la:
Zastava SAD-a na ovoj platformi ipak nije izdržala vjetrove 2. kategorije! :lol:

slika


Kineska roba :llooll: :var2:

BURA
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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la radoznali » 14 ruj 2018, 14:11

Fakat nema je. Inače kamera tamo i dalje radi,poluoblačno i mirno ... drugim riječima u ovim trenucima Florance upravo slijeće na kopno. Platforma je u središtu oka.

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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la FranGaca1 » 14 ruj 2018, 14:25

Kako ovo može bit uživo, nema šanse, đe je oluja :shock:


slika

BURA
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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la Zvone » 14 ruj 2018, 17:14

Ma nestalo je struje, ovo se vrti neka ranija snimka, ništa tamo nije mirno.

Sve da i je platforma u oku, vjetar bi bio slabiji ali more nikako ne bi moglo biti mirno.

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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la Boki » 14 ruj 2018, 17:21

The Frying Pan cameras are offline due to Hurricane Florence. We're working to get the cams back up again!

JUGO
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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la Thunderstorm » 14 ruj 2018, 19:11

Eto i taj storm surge...Union Point Park, New Bern, NC. Nekih 20-30km od oceana
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Još zanimljivih slika se može naći ovdje https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack

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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la Ned » 14 ruj 2018, 22:21

Uragan prizemljio i po očekivanju jako usporio

Citat:
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
735 AM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...CENTER OF THE EYE OF HURRICANE FLORENCE FINALLY MAKES LANDFALL
NEAR WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH NORTH CAROLINA...

NOAA Doppler weather radar data and surface observations indicate
that the center of the eye of Hurricane Florence made landfall along
the coast of North Carolina at 715 AM EDT...1115 UTC...near 34.2N
77.8W...which is near Wrightsville Beach. Maximum sustained winds
were estimated to be 90 mph (150 km/h), and the central pressure was
estimated to be 958 mb based on reports from the NOAA NOS observing
station at Johnny Mercer Pier in Wrightsville Beach.

SUMMARY OF 715 AM EDT...1115 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.2N 77.8W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM E OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES


Citat:
400 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...400 PM EDT POSITION UPDATE...
...FLORENCE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA...
...TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE...

NOAA Doppler weather radar data and surface observations indicate
that the center of Hurricane Florence has continued to move slowly
westward toward the North Carolina-South Carolina border.


slika

prve posljedice: 4 poginule osobe
desetine ljudi čekaju spasioce, 600 tisuća bez struje


Citat:
Rainfall totals exceeding 16 inches thus far have been reported at
several locations across southeastern North Carolina.
The snow comes down so fast and thick, you can actually watch it pile up, and you can even hear it

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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la Ned » 14 ruj 2018, 22:47

Florence je sad tropska oluja koja je stigla i do gradića Florence u Južnoj Karolini

Citat:
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
500 PM EDT Fri Sep 14 2018

...FLORENCE NOW PRODUCING TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS IN
FLORENCE SOUTH CAROLINA...

...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGES TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...
...CATASTROPHIC FRESHWATER FLOODING EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH
AND SOUTH CAROLINA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.0N 78.6W
ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM WSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 25 MI...45 KM NE OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.70 INCHES
The snow comes down so fast and thick, you can actually watch it pile up, and you can even hear it

EXPERT
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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la Ned » 14 ruj 2018, 23:09

evo i satelitske snimke landfalla

slika
The snow comes down so fast and thick, you can actually watch it pile up, and you can even hear it

STUDENT
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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la FranGaca1 » 14 ruj 2018, 23:40

E sad jedino sto preostaje je potpuno slabljenje tropske oluje u tropsku depresiju, prema prognozama Florence bi se trebala prikljuciti velikoj cikloni nad Grenlandom i tako zavrsiti svoj zivot! A narodu sto preostaje je pozbrajati stete i vratiti zivot u normalu!

BURA
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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la radoznali » 15 ruj 2018, 08:12

Očekivano najviše problema će biti od kiše. Dosta postaja u Sjevernoj Karolini je već na oko 20" oborina, zasad je jedna postaja zabilježila 23,5" kiše!

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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la FranGaca1 » 15 ruj 2018, 19:43

714
WTNT41 KNHC 151447
TCDAT1

Tropical Storm Florence Discussion Number 65
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
1100 AM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

Florence continues to creep slowly westward and weaken across
eastern South Carolina. NOAA WSR-88D Doppler weather radar data
indicate strong winds near 60 kt still exist between 3000-10000 ft
within intense rainbands situated between the Cape Fear/Wilmington
area and Bogue Inlet, North Carolina. Although those velocity values
would typically correlate to 50-kt surface winds, those winds appear
to be associated with small mesoscale circulations and possible
supercell thunderstorms, and not the larger tangential wind field.
In contrast, surface observations during the past couple of hours
have only shown sustained winds of around 40 kt, so that is the
intensity used for this advisory. The estimated central pressure
of 995 mb is based on nearby surface observations across eastern
South Carolina.

Radar data and surface observations indicate that Florence has
turned more westward, and has slowed down even more, and the initial
motion estimate is now 270/02 kt. The models remain in very good
agreement that a mid-level ridge currently centered over the upper
Midwest will slide eastward across the lower Great Lakes to near the
northeastern U.S. during the next 48 hours. This feature is
expected to steer Florence and its remnants in a general westward
motion for the next 24 hours or so, followed by a turn toward the
northwest on Monday. The ridge will continue to shift eastward and
weaken, allowing Florence's circulation to get caught up in the
faster mid-latitude westerlies and accelerate toward the northeast
on day 3 and toward the east-northeast on days 4 and 5 as an
extratropical low pressure system. The new NHC track is similar to
the previous advisory track, and lies near the consensus model
TCVA/TVCN.

Florence's inner-core convection and wind field will continue to
weaken throughout the next 72 hours or so. However, the outer wind
field and an associated band of deep convection in the eastern
semicircle will likely produce sustained tropical-storm-force winds
for another 12 hours or so, with some high gusts continuing until
the band moves inland by late Sunday as per the latest the latest
NOAA HRRR and other mesoscale model runs. More importantly,
continued heavy rains will be produced by this band of convection,
which will exacerbate the already catastrophic flooding that is
occurring across much of southeastern North Carolina. The official
intensity forecast closely follows the Decay-SHIPS model guidance
and the intensity model IVCN through 72 hours, and then follows a
blend of the IVCN, HCCA, and FSSE consensus models on days 4 and 5
when the post-tropical cyclone is forecast to strengthen due to
baroclinic processes after moving over the relatively warm waters of
the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

Although coastal storm surge flooding will gradually subside today,
especially after the midday high-tide period ends, extremely heavy
rainfall will continue to be a serious hazard associated with
slow-moving Florence. More than two feet of rain has already fallen
across portions of southeastern North Carolina, and more rain is
still to come, which will cause disastrous flooding that will spread
inland through the weekend.

Oluja se miče samo 2mph to je nesto više od 3km/h! Oluja nosi stalno nove litre nad jedno te isto mjesto i vjerojatno će biti još poplava. Slično nešto se dogodilo u Zadru prošle godine kada je oblak zapeo za Velebit..

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Re: Atlantik: Uragan Florence (1.9.2018.-)

PostPostao/la Ned » 16 ruj 2018, 13:40

Florence malo izluđuje prognostičare u NHC-u
iz jučerašnje diskusije :D

Citat:
500 PM EDT Sat Sep 15 2018

Florence's center has continued its slow...and I do mean s-l-o-w...
westward trek across eastern South Carolina, with little change in
the overall structure of the wind field both overland and over
water.


danas je Florence postala tropska depresija

Citat:
500 AM EDT Sun Sep 16 2018

...FLORENCE WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION BUT FLASH FLOODING AND MAJOR
RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE OVER A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE
CAROLINAS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.8N 81.4W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM SW OF COLUMBIA SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


problemi s poplavama nisu ni izbliza gotovi, krenuti će i prelijevanje rijeka

Citat:
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Florence is expected to produce heavy and excessive
rainfall in the following areas...

Central and western North Carolina into far southwest Virginia...

An additional 5 to 10 inches, with storm total accumulations of 15
to 20 inches in western North Carolina. These rainfall amounts will
produce catastrophic flash flooding, prolonged significant river
flooding, and an elevated risk for landslides in western North
Carolina and far southwest Virginia.

Southern North Carolina into Northern South Carolina...

An additional 4 to 6 inches, isolated 8 inches. This rainfall will
result in additional flash flooding while also exacerbating the
river flooding. Storm total accumulations of 30 to 40 inches in
southeast North Carolina.


West-central Virginia, north of Roanoke and west of
Charlottesville...

2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches. This rainfall will result in
flash flooding and potentially lead to some river flooding.


slijedećih dana Florence bi trebala ubrzati i napustiti pogođeno područje

slika

broj žrtava je porastao na 13, a količina kiše je na jednoj lokaciji prešla 30 incha

Citat:
Two spots have preliminarily topped North Carolina's tropical cyclone rainfall record: Swansboro with 30.59 inches of rain and a site in Onslow County with 25.87 inches so far. The previous record was 24.06 inches from Hurricane Floyd in 1999.
The snow comes down so fast and thick, you can actually watch it pile up, and you can even hear it

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