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Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

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Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la Ned » 23 lis 2018, 21:08

Nad zapadnim Pacifikom novi supertajfun in the making
Yutu, već je CAT 2, prognozira se za koji dan i CAT 5, 145 kt

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la Ned » 23 lis 2018, 23:35

Yutu jača, CAt 3, približava se Marijanskim otocima na Pacifku (Guam)
prognozira se CAT 5 do 150 kt (278 km/h)

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la radoznali » 24 lis 2018, 12:27

Pojedinačni udari bi mogli dosegnuti i 330 km/h :shock: ! I to u nepsrednoj blizini Marijanskog otočja, ako uspije održati takvu snagu pred landfall to će biti potpuna devastacija.

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la Ned » 24 lis 2018, 15:50

CAT 5, čini se da će u novom izvještaju već biti i 155 kt, malo prije prognoziranog termina
na udaru bi se trebao naći otok Saipan, oko 53 tisuće stanovnika, gdje da se oni evakuiraju?

Citat:
Current Analysis -----
Date : 24 OCT 2018 Time : 114000 UTC
Lat : 14:38:59 N Lon : 146:15:00 E

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.5 / 898.3mb/155.0kt

Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
7.5 7.8 7.9

Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 21 km

Center Temp : +22.9C Cloud Region Temp : -81.0C

Scene Type : EYE


103°C je razlika temperatura između toplog oka i najhladnijih oblaka, koji je to toplinski stroj :shock:

4 dana bi trebao održati kategoriju 5

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la Ned » 24 lis 2018, 15:51

evo i karte Marijanskih otoka

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la Ned » 24 lis 2018, 15:53

Na Saipanu je trenutno mark, ali ga huči, hoće li kamera preživjeti do zore?

https://www.earthcam.com/world/northernmarianaislands/saipan/?cam=saipan
The snow comes down so fast and thick, you can actually watch it pile up, and you can even hear it

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la Ned » 24 lis 2018, 16:00

Izgleda da će na kraju ipak poštedjeti azijske obale

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la Ned » 24 lis 2018, 16:04

zadnje izvješće

Citat:
Super Typhoon Yutu (31W) Special Advisory Number 12A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP312018
1023 PM ChST Wed Oct 24 2018

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION DEVELOPING FOR SAIPAN AND TINIAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
The eyewall of Super Typhoon Yutu (31W) will hit Saipan and Tinian
imminently.


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Typhoon warnings remain in effect for Rota, Tinian and Saipan. The
strongest winds will reach Saipan in the next hour or so. The winds
will be much stronger than in Typhoon Soudelor!

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Guam, Alamagan,
Pagan, and Agrihan.

Typhoon conditions are expected through late Thursday morning at
Rota, Tinian and Saipan.

Tropical storm conditions are expected for Guam late tonight
through Thursday evening.

Tropical storm conditions are expected at Alamagan, Pagan, and
Agrihan around midnight tonight through late Thursday evening.

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
------------------------------------------------
Location...14.7N 146.3E

About 50 miles east-southeast of Tinian
About 50 miles southeast of Saipan
About 80 miles east-northeast of Rota
About 130 miles northeast of Guam
About 205 miles south of Alamagan
About 240 miles south of Pagan
About 285 miles south of Agrihan

Maximum sustained winds...165 mph
Present movement...northwest...320 degrees at 12 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CHST...1200 UTC...the center of Super Typhoon Yutu was
located near Latitude 14.7 degrees North and Longitude 146.3 degrees
East. Yutu is moving northwest at 12 mph. It is expected to hit
Saipan and Tinian before midnight.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 165 mph. Yutu is forecast to
intensify through Thursday. Over the next several hours, Yutu will
bring catastrophic damage to both Saipan and Tinian.


Typhoon force winds extend outward from the center up to 75 miles.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to
235 miles.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
The next scheduled advisory will be issued by the National
Weather Service at 200 AM ChST early Thursday morning followed by
an intermediate advisory at 500 AM ChST.

$$

Stanko
The snow comes down so fast and thick, you can actually watch it pile up, and you can even hear it

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la Ned » 24 lis 2018, 16:23

baš moraš imati sreće da te na ogromnom Pacifku baš pogodi očni zid supertajfuna

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la Thunderstorm » 24 lis 2018, 17:52

NWS Guam...neće ovo dobro završiti za Saipan i Tinian. Na ta dva otočića živi oko 50 tisuća ljudi.
Citat:
AS SUPER TYPHOON YUTU (31W) CONTINUES TO APPROACH...SUSTAINED
TYPHOON FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 130 TO 160 MPH RANGE
WITH GUSTS TO 185 MPH. DEVASTATING DAMAGE IS EXPECTED. COLLAPSE OF
SOME RESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES WILL PUT LIVES AT RISK. AIRBORNE DEBRIS
WILL CAUSE EXTENSIVE DAMAGE. PERSONS...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK STRUCK BY
THE WIND BLOWN DEBRIS WILL BE INJURED OR KILLED. MOST HOMES WILL
SUSTAIN SEVERE DAMAGE WITH POTENTIAL FOR COMPLETE ROOF FAILURE AND
WALL COLLAPSE. MOST INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED...WITH
OTHERS EXPERIENCING PARTIAL ROOF AND WALL DAMAGE. MOST LOW RISE
APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE SEVERELY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED...AND
OTHERS WILL HAVE PARTIAL ROOF AND WALL FAILURE. NUMEROUS WINDOWS WILL
BE BLOWN OUT OF HIGH RISE BUILDINGS RESULTING IN FALLING
GLASS...WHICH WILL POSE A THREAT FOR DAYS TO WEEKS AFTER THE STORM.
CONSIDERABLE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO LARGE BUILDINGS IS POSSIBLE.
ELECTRICITY AND WATER WILL BE UNAVAILABLE FOR DAYS AND PERHAPS WEEKS
AFTER THE STORM PASSES. MOST TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED.
FALLEN TREES MAY CUT OFF RESIDENTIAL AREAS FOR DAYS TO WEEKS.


https://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/PGSN.html

Postaja na Saipanu se pomalo kvari. Anemomentar je izgubljen na 72MPH sustained gusting 97MPH, barometar je izgubljen na 948hPa.

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la _Mario92_ » 24 lis 2018, 18:07

JTWC u 15UTC kaže 180 MPH/155 KTS sustained vjetar, a udari do 190 KTS/228 MPH/350 KPH taman pred landfall :shock:

Tlak 899 mb po TropicalTidbits

Citat:
SUPER TYPHOON 31W (YUTU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 43 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE
BY APPLYING A SLIGHT SOUTHWEST OFFSET TO THE CENTER OF A 20 NM ROUND
EYE IN THE 241200Z ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE. THE EYE IS
SURROUNDED BY SYMMETRIC DEEP CONVECTION WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTIVE
BANDS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 155 KNOTS IS
CONSISTENT WITH MULTI-AGENCY DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF
T7.5 (155 KTS).
SAIPAN REPORTED AN 85 KNOT PEAK WIND GUST AT 241258Z
AND SUSTAINED NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF OVER 50 KNOTS WERE REPORTED
BETWEEN 241200Z AND 241300Z. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE WITH
MODERATE (15-20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), EXCELLENT POLEWARD
OUTFLOW, GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (29-30 CELSIUS) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURE. THE CYCLONE IS TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTHEAST.
Periodically, nature will in a kind of a psychotic fit, go completely randomly mad.

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la Ned » 24 lis 2018, 20:40

Citat:
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SUPER TYPHOON YUTU (31W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
209 AM CHST THU OCT 25 2018

...EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON YUTU OVER TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

.NEW INFORMATION...
THE EYE OF SUPER TYPHOON YUTU NOW OVER TINIAN AND SOUTHERN SAIPAN.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...

THE CURRENT POSITION OF YUTU HAS THE EYE OVER TINIAN AND SOUTHERN
SAIPAN WITH MAX WINDS IN THE EYE WALL 180 MPH OR STRONGER...A
DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 SUPER TYPHOON. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT TINIAN AND SAIPAN FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ALL RESIDENTS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS AND ADVISORIES FOR
ANY CHANGES THAT MIGHT IMPACT YOUR ISLAND. EITHER LOCAL MEDIA OR THE
NWS GUAM WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GUM/ ARE GOOD CHOICES.


Otok Tinian u oku supertajfuna

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la Ned » 24 lis 2018, 22:08

Yutu polaku napušta otočje
i dalje drži 180 mph

Citat:
Super Typhoon Yutu (31W) Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
National Weather Service Tiyan GU WP312018
443 AM ChST Thu Oct 25 2018

...SUPER TYPHOON YUTU NOW WEST OF TINIAN AND SAIPAN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
Super Typhoon Yutu now moving away from the Marianas.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Typhoon warnings remain in effect for Rota, Tinian and Saipan. The
strongest winds have already occurred and will continue to slowly
diminish through the day.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Guam, Alamagan, Pagan,
and Agrihan.

Typhoon conditions are expected through late this morning at Rota,
Tinian and Saipan.

Tropical storm conditions are expected for Guam through this morning.

Tropical storm conditions are expected at Alamagan, Pagan, and
Agrihan around through late this evening.

SUMMARY OF 400 AM CHST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
Location...15.3N 145.3E

About 30 miles northwest of Tinian
About 30 miles west-northwest of Saipan
About 85 miles north of Rota
About 135 miles north-northeast of Guam
About 170 miles south-southwest of Alamagan
About 195 miles south of Pagan
About 245 miles south of Agrihan

Maximum sustained winds...180 mph
Present movement...northwest...315 degrees at 15 mph

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CHST...1800 UTC...the center of Super Typhoon Yutu was
located near Latitude 15.3 degrees North and Longitude 145.3 degrees
East. Yutu is moving northwest at 13 mph. It is expected to make a
slight turn toward the west-northwest with a slight decrease in
forward speed over the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds remain at 180 mph. Yutu is forecast to
maintain this intensity through tonight.

Typhoon force winds extend outward from the center up to 85 miles.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward from the center up to 240
miles to the northeast and up to 205 miles elsewhere.


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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la radoznali » 25 lis 2018, 11:40

Yutu je prohujao Marijanskim otočjem, prije landfalla uz vjetrove 174mph, na udare i dosta jače. Zasad jošnema podataka o žrtvama, no pojavile su se prve fotke i video-klipići. Što reći potpuna devastacija, sretni su oni kojima su još ostali zidovi od kuća. Vegetacija temeljito očerupana. Počinje borba za preživljavanje, nema vode, hrane, prometnice i luke oštećene ili neprohodne, nema struje ... ostale su samo ruševine. Srećom pa nisu daleko jake američke vojne baze pa će se uspostaviti zračni most sa pogođenim područjem!

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Re: Tajfun Yutu (22.10.2018.- )

PostPostao/la FranGaca1 » 26 lis 2018, 19:38

Ned je napisao/la:
baš moraš imati sreće da te na ogromnom Pacifku baš pogodi očni zid supertajfuna

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Primijetio sam na ovoj animaciji da se uragan kreće po nekoj krivuljastoj putanji, cik-cak, jel to uvijek tako ili?

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